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The Accuracy of Splines Overtime - 3D Time-Series Approach Part III: Mastering The Math Matters
In the prior post it was proven that, as a stochastic variable, a stock quote is impossible to be predicted using regression. It is based on
Alejandro Romero
18 Mar 20233 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Europe Confirms Profitability of LATAM, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 31/10/2023
According to LP, none of the expected returns from the ETFs in Europe is significantly different from the others, it means that the differen
Alejandro Romero
27 Şub 20235 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: LATAM Countries Skip Bear Market and Keep Profitable, 31/10/2022
All but Bootsim methodology showed that the SR has shifted upwards in contrast to what had happened in USA and Europe where the market...
Alejandro Romero
3 Şub 20235 dakikada okunur


All ETFs¹ in Europe: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Maximum likelihood return, probability return above zero, price difference distribution for all ETF in Europe.
Alejandro Romero
30 Oca 20231 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Bear Market Confirmed Also in Europe, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 01/08/2022
LP and Bootlp recommend XSMC.SW in big proportion, this is the ETF that fully replicates the Solactive Swiss Large Cap index from Switzerlan
Alejandro Romero
27 Oca 20235 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: To Invest Across Sectors is not Enough, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 20/12/2021
According to LP, none of the expected returns from the ETFs in Europe is significantly different from the others, it means that the differen
Alejandro Romero
14 Oca 20235 dakikada okunur


TOP95 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 31/10/2022
Probability of positive return, maximum likelihood return, markov chain projections, accumulative and single probability univariate splines
Alejandro Romero
22 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Efficiency Shifts to Niche Markets, TOP95¹ ETFs in USA, 31/10/2022
The bear market brings niche or more specific markets as options to diversification and efficiency. There is an ongoing shift from broad sec
Alejandro Romero
15 Ara 20225 dakikada okunur


TOP10 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 31/10/2022
Find out what are the odds of earning/loosing money for the coming weeks on the TOP10 traded ETFs in USA.
Alejandro Romero
11 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur


Markov General Model (MGM) Decimals v3.3 to Calculate Advance Statistics for Multiple Securities
v3.3 features:
Row Index for historical values kept as dates instead of being changed to week count.
Tested on Python 3.11.
Alejandro Romero
6 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: The Marke Turns Bear. Adv. Stats for the Top10 ETFs in USA, 31/10/2022
According to LP, the hypothesis sustaining that at least one of the expected returns from the Top10 traded ETFs in USA is significant...
Alejandro Romero
27 Kas 20224 dakikada okunur


Pattern Search to Decimals New version Output_v2.1.ipynb - Google Colab
New version 2.1 on Google Colab released. More concise and processing-time saving.
Alejandro Romero
9 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur


LATAM ETFs Traded in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
LATAM ETFs traded in USA offer zero diversification options. A groundbraking methodology helps investors and speculators to decide which one
Alejandro Romero
8 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur


TOP95 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Top 95 traded ETFs in USA. Probabilities of positive return, return with maximum likelihood, splines, interactive graphs with projections, a
Alejandro Romero
8 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur


TOP10 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Top10 ETFs USA comprehensive report with expected returns, their probabilties, return with maximum likelihood, probability of positive...
Alejandro Romero
26 Eki 20221 dakikada okunur


Free Reading: Advance Statistics for the LATAM ETFs, 01/08/2022
Four methodologies used are: Linear programming (LP), Simulation (Sim), Bootstrapping plus LP (Bootlp), and Bootstrapping plus sim (Bootsim)
Alejandro Romero
25 Eyl 20223 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Advance Statistics for the 95¹ Most Traded ETFs in USA, 01/08/2022
According to LP, at least one of the expected returns from the Top95 traded ETFs in USA is significant different from the others...
Alejandro Romero
8 Eyl 20224 dakikada okunur


Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Advance Statistics for the 10 Most Traded ETFs in USA, 01/08/2022
As stock quotes are stochastic processes, hidden behaviors will only be revealed as approaches are compared to each other.
Alejandro Romero
31 Ağu 20223 dakikada okunur


ML Perspective Predicts with Over 80%¹ Accuracy 1.800 Weekly Quotes between 21/12/2021-25/04/2022
Breakthroughs:
Not a regression problem anymore but categorical.
Not focus on quotes but on quote changes (delta price).
Alejandro Romero
10 Ağu 20221 dakikada okunur


The Accuracy of Splines Overtime - 3D Time-Series Approach - Top10 Traded ETFs USA 25/04/2022
Time-series can be usefull as long as they are applied correctly and that's why the focus of ML Perspective was to renew it with the...
Alejandro Romero
19 Tem 20222 dakikada okunur
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